Russland vs. Ukraine

[Quintus Fabius]

Ein Kanal aus der Anfangszeit des Ukrainekrieges, den ich 2023 aus den Augen verloren habe. Ist wieder aktiv und berichtet zur aktuellen Lage:

https://x.com/JominiW/status/1900413043613532410

JOMINI:

Ukrainian TVD Day 1114: Fierce combat persisted across the Donbas Strategic Direction, especially north of Chasiv Yar and in the Kostiantynopil regions. Russian troops made attempts to penetrate Ukrainian defensive positions using heavy artillery and infantry assaults but encountered strong resistance, leading to limited territorial advances.

In the Southern Strategic Direction, Ukrainian forces executed precise strikes on Russian ammunition depots in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, which disrupted supply lines and hampered Russian artillery effectiveness.

The Northern Strategic Direction saw an uptick in cross-border shelling from Russian forces into Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, which led Ukraine to bolster its defensive setups in these areas.

Concurrently, Russian missile and drone attacks on critical Ukrainian infrastructure continued, with Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepting most incoming threats; however, there was some minor damage to energy facilities in Kyiv and Dnipro.

Operational Direction Kursk: In the past two and a half weeks, OUV Kursk has effectively utilized its operational advantages over recent months to defeat OTU Siversk in the Kursk Oblast. While it is nearly certain OTU Siversk will shift to a defensive posture in Sumy Oblast, it’s uncertain how much force structure OUV Kursk will retain for future operations.

Luhansk Front: Viktor Tregubov, a spokesman for the Operational-Strategic Group of Forces Khortytsia stated that Russian troops increased the number of attacks in the Kupyansk sector. Trugubov said that this escalation could be provoked primarily by the fact that while everything was frozen, including the river, the Russians were able to move their troops and make certain replenishments, including those troops on the right bank of the river. He added that the Russians are also assaulting with heavy equipment, although there is not as much of it as in some other areas, and most of it is directed towards Kupyansk.

Geolocated footage published on 12 MAR indicates Russian troops advanced north of Bohuslavka, likely capturing Zahryzove. Ukrainian sources did not report changes in the area.

Central Donetsk Front, Chasiv Yar: On 12 MAR, Russian sources claimed SVRF troops advanced 1.5 kilometres north of the Novopivnichy micro-district, seizing the forest belts in the area. Fighting was also taking place in southern Chasiv Yar, in the area of the Shevchenko micro-district. The source added that the ZSU began actively attacking Russian rear positions with artillery in an attempt to deplete operational reserves. The Ukrainian sources did not report changes in the area.

Central Donetsk Front, Toretsk: On 12 MAR, a Russian source stated that the situation in Toretsk remained unchanged. The Ukrainian forces continued to transfer troops to the city area, and the source claimed the ZSU had no prospects of changing the situation. Still, eliminating the Ukrainian forces took time and resources away from the Russian troops.

However, geolocated footage was published on 12 MAR showing that Ukrainian forces advanced in the Zabalka district and Russian troops advancing in northern Toretsk. A spokesperson from the Ukrainian 28th Separate Mechanized Brigade stated that the Russians are using a vast number of drones and attacking with mechanized and small-group assaults. He noted that Russian forces are using fewer KABs and artillery and instead focus on the massive use of all types of drones.

Operational Direction Pokrovsk: A Ukrainian source stated that since 10 MAR, the Russians have been trying to break through in the Udachne-Uspenivka area using several armored vehicles and have tactically successfully captured several positions. The source noted that over the past week, the Russians not relying on motorcycle-borne assaults, but are moving more in tactical columns with heavy equipment first (i.e., tanks and armored personnel carriers), trying to cut into the Ukrainian defenses before fast moving motorcycle and lightly armored cars move in to dismount infantry to assault through breached defensive corridors.

Operational Direction Velyka Novosilka: On 12 MAR, geolocated footage showed Russian troops raising a flag in the western part of Dniproenerhiya. Ukrainian sources still have not reported the loss of the village. The Russian source also reported Ukrainian reserve troops deploying into this section of the front and counterattack in the direction of Burlatske, Vilne Pole, and Novosilka. At the same time, the Russian forces managed to advance to Vesele.

Operational Direction Orikhiv: On 12 MAR, a Russian source claimed that Russian troops had captured only the eastern and central parts of the P'yatykhatky village. Fighting continued in the northern part of the village. The western part was still under the control of the ZSU. In the Kamyanske area, the line of contact remained largely unchanged. In the Shcherbaky area, the Russian assault units continued storming ZSU positions in the forest areas on the village's south side. The Ukrainian sources did not report changes in the area.

Operational Outlook: Over the next 72 hours, Russian forces are expected to maintain their offensive efforts in the east and increase cross-border provocations in the north. Meanwhile, Ukraine is expected to maintain defensive lines, launch localized counterattacks, and target Russian logistics and command centers through precise strikes. The situation remains fluid, with no definitive indicators of a significant breakthrough for either side.

Karten:

https://x.com/JominiW/status/19004130436...10/photo/1

https://x.com/JominiW/status/19004130527...17/photo/1